Finals Week 2 AFL Preview - Semi-Finals
2023 AFL FINALS WEEK 2
And then there were six. The first week of finals has been done and Saint Kilda and Sydney had their seasons ended. Every game went as the statistical leviathan predicted (even if I didn’t follow it). You may remember from last week the stats model said that Saint Kilda and Sydney didn’t even belong in the eight. Perhaps I should turn its attention to something good and worthwhile, like solving climate change?
There were many discussion points to come out of the week and the MRP and Tribunal has a busy time ahead. The biggest one was the Maynard/Brayshaw incident. Before I dive into it, the one thing we don’t want to see in football is good players missing games. Brayshaw will be out for a minimum of one week and nobody, not even Maynard, wanted that to happen. I’m writing this before the tribunal hearing so I don’t know how this will pan out but for sure the path that has been taken is the right one. Each of these statements is true: Maynard was attempting to smother the ball and had no intention of hurting Brayshaw. Brayshaw was executing a kick into the forward line and is reasonably expected to do so without being knocked unconscious. The other thing that is true here is there is going to be no winner from this. The correct course of action is being taken and we can just be along for the ride. It’s correct to go to the tribunal as we can’t just have people being knocked out on the field…even if accidents happen sometimes. If it goes to appeal, that would also be reasonable. Should Maynard not be suspended, expect the rules to change.
What I did enjoy was listening to some very polarized comments on radio talkback. One caller even insisted that Maynard should have changed direction in mid-flight. When challenged on it the caller said they could do it and would go out the back and video themselves changing direction in mid-air. I’m still waiting to see the video, and more importantly the awarding of the Nobel Prize as 500 years of science is proven wrong.
Let’s look at the Semi-Finals.
Melbourne vs Carlton MCG Friday Night
Let’s start with
This match, at the MCG means
Statistically, these two teams have had
some close tussles in the last 10 encounters.
The average margin (once we remove the outlier) is 13 points. As to where this game will be won, I believe
it will be between the ears.
To be honest, Port was made to look a bit second-rate last week. They showed some spirit briefly but then it seemed once the writing was on the wall, they conserved themselves for the next week. But then they are not the first team to venture up to the Gabba and made to look second rate.
GWS continued to steam on with a convincing victory over Saint Kilda. They are a very good team. Some may say “lacking talent, but you can certainly trust them.” – Toby Greene. It’s not often your captain would publicly describe you as lacking any talent, but somehow, he seemed to make it work which confirms the theory that he’s taken some kind of leadership/maturity performance enhancing drug.
The other thing on
GWS’s side is their ability to win anywhere.
They’ve won at 11 different grounds this year which is a phenomenal feat
although the last time they were at The Adelaide Oval they were soundly pumped
by Port to the tune of 8 goals. Port
I’m undecided how
this one goes? Both teams have
legitimate claims to winning this match.
GWS are a very well set up and cohesive unit and they should welcome
back Cognilio after an unexpected eye issue last week. Will